New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf56fc46248ca208dbae79609fd8d958cf60553e085a65e403f9f31065de0348

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	40c	12,595$5,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100.76	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over	60c	8,208$4,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,283.32	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	61c	4,574$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	41c	3,901$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.41	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over	63c	3,799$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.2	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	39c	2,561$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.58	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	61c	2,478$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.63	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over	59c	2,413$1,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.3	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	60c	2,332$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over	58c	2,275$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.1	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	40c	2,133$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.75	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.91	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked Under	58c	1,693$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.96	146	37.7%55 W · 91 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	40c	1,250$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.97	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	40c	1,204$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.14	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Under	35c	1,102$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.54	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	61c	983.61$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.61	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	42c	676.59$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.62	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	39c	644.24$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.32	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.06	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Under	44c	454.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	163	19.6%32 W · 131 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47e…deebbacked Over	55c	438.58$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.58	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	40c	435.43$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.76	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under	36c	428.74$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.32	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Over	61c	334.93$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.62	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	111	45%50 W · 61 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over	61c	324.59$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.59	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over	69c	320.36$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.56	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	40c	299.98$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	40c	285.34$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.13	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Over	57c	273$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e9…5f6cbacked Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over	62c	220.65$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.05	134	43.3%58 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Under	52c	170.19$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc528…3545backed Over	61c	164.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.37	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	71c	131.27$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	39c	119.18$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12cf…9f32backed Over	60c	113.33$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	53.4%93 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	58c	107.08$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.63	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	195	47.7%93 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under	43c	99.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	40c	88.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	55c	85.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.47	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	57c	77.42$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	66c	77.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.27	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf1…63bcbacked Under	41c	73.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	43c	68$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.52	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	47c	65.75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Over	60c	65$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	300	60%180 W · 120 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	40c	61.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Under	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	126	61.9%78 W · 48 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x304c…def8backed Over	57c	52.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	57c	51.84$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.43	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8805…721fbacked Under	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…0c24backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked Under	50c	43.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	41c	42.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Under	36c	36.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	51c	35.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	56c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	259	48.6%126 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	39c	34$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	40c	31.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Over	63c	31.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062c…24d5backed Under	39c	31.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed34…cf67backed Over	61c	30.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	94	63.8%60 W · 34 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cf…80febacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	40c	30.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	45c	29.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	68c	23.72$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	62c	22.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	340	56.5%192 W · 148 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	60c	21.4$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Over	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c4…034bbacked Over	69c	19.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event