Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c72530fc1a767e04102b93e731764a3ac75fb592a42a768c5aafa2ef1d57b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 1,624$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 43c | 1,156$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 902.2$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.55 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 851.48$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 38c | 532.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 56c | 471.17$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 450.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 60c | 394.12$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 275.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 34c | 245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 61c | 93.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 57c | 58.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 57c | 57.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 56c | 39.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 60c | 31.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 59c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…e5cbbacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.