Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4ce2703bdd34918da72f1ab4a34fb8ee90f1cdc8baebac5c46b414dbbbd988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 43c | 2,154$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.22 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 1,274$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.12 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 58c | 860.84$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Over | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 750.01$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 501.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 476.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 379.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 45c | 349.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 43c | 313.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 23c | 296.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 54c | 253.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 250.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 56c | 241.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 58c | 236.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 50c | 222.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 58c | 205.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 202.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 46c | 196.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 32c | 165.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 64c | 125.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 120.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 105.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 23c | 97.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…9a74backed Over | 64c | 93.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 54c | 90.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 85.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…15e4backed Over | 55c | 54.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 52c | 35.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…def8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…b896backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.