Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f11dd49b98343263908ff7cb9a883c00c4333cb30c5a4bcc0617b82b9ea8012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.45 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Under | 54c | 796.3$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 52c | 779.67$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.42 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…868cbacked Under | 57c | 626.4$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 34c | 492.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 467.94$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 48c | 429.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 40c | 417.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 41c | 352.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 56c | 239.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 161.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 44c | 150.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 45c | 107$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 60c | 93.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 75.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 42c | 70.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 55c | 51.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 42c | 42.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.