Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ead969f506124d58ef9d613026e9c3acdfdc583c3ab598cc49c9f8c6f4effc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 5,390$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.66 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 58c | 4,100$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 45c | 3,782$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.58 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 61c | 1,823$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 58c | 1,710$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.45 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 1,676$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 1,146$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.89 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 55c | 823$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 44c | 803.75$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.07 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 766.3$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.12 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 675.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.17 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 619.49$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 575.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…0025backed Over | 51c | 418.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 351.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 41c | 342.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 294.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 37c | 241.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 49c | 229$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 49c | 187.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 141$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 74c | 134.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 50c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 113.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 49c | 89.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 48c | 73.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 49c | 66.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 43c | 63.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 50c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 60.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 42c | 48.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 47.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 45.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 43.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Over | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 49c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.