Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a7619acc54db0c71ce4ba9bf1d64c1e1781070686f33a538c67e3578bf7f32

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $265,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,999 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf88d…2838backed Yes	0c	25,950$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3986…b272backed Yes	0c	18,064$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	16,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	12,006$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.62	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	11,822$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.22	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	0c	11,027$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Yes	4c	6,542$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,156$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	3,005$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.11	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	20c	3,000$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.44	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	2,678$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.87	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb409…d114backed Yes	8c	2,356$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.86	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	6c	2,217$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.43	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes	8c	2,000$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.01	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	1,838$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,712$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	6c	1,579$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	8c	1,541$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	1,512$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.75	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	13c	1,350$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.5	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	1,256$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	9c	1,242$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.86	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	21c	1,063$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.14	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8667…8e0bbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	999.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	18c	862.74$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.46	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	6c	820.16$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	17c	744.2$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.16	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	27c	742.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…b898backed Yes	8c	711.8$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	14c	700.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	25c	700$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	700$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	21c	655.12$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	15c	610$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.8	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	17c	582.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes	19c	527.1$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.67	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	504.93$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.69	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82d…f5c0backed Yes	18c	501.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	15c	500$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	8c	490$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	12c	482$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.3	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	14c	443.26$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	12c	384.32$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.77	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	19c	383.1$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.18	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	26c	382.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x097d…83f6backed Yes	26c	378.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243f…12fabacked Yes	26c	377.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	17c	351.62$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	20c	285.37$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	11c	264.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…7d27backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…8ad5backed No	76c	216.84$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…f365backed Yes	10c	210.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	8c	203.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5824…dcf0backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b13…188cbacked Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e2…3926backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1804…1810backed Yes	14c	180.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes	11c	177.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ff…7c2fbacked Yes	20c	171.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	94	17%16 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	12c	165.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x890d…782cbacked Yes	16c	162.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9de6…d1c6backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb2…317bbacked Yes	22c	135.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6742…2ab7backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857a…9325backed Yes	16c	132.94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afb…7f99backed Yes	25c	118.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	17cpaid	+217.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fae…08bfbacked Yes	13c	110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…c260backed Yes	25c	110$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	125	23.2%29 W · 96 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked Yes	21c	108.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes	21c	102$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+43%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…74c5backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126b…26f9backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…989bbacked Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e60…cbfdbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes	20c	98.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fa…fe6ebacked Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	13c	92.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e0…adc0backed Yes	11c	90.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes	25c	87.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	24c	81.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…dbecbacked Yes	21c	81.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd042…215fbacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d91…47cdbacked Yes	19c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0f…37babacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…55b9backed Yes	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4918…c7b5backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7557…7579backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391f…cf8dbacked Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event