Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c87007e030c63750b98194e783de63f7644c133a5df4d2a21a4d7172f2dbdfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 451.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 5c | 386.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 42c | 292.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 271.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…b02bbacked Yes | 7c | 255.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 38c | 243.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 36c | 235.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 36c | 229.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked No | 60c | 185.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 69c | 184.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 35c | 179.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 39c | 177.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Yes | 11c | 167.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 32c | 163.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 161.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed Yes | 14c | 135.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 126.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 12c | 126.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…7afebacked Yes | 10c | 107.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 26c | 102.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 60c | 95.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 41c | 95.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 43c | 94.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…0307backed No | 62c | 91.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 90.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 36c | 89.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…0927backed Yes | 37c | 87.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…1aa9backed Yes | 42c | 86.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 38c | 76.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 70.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…457ebacked Yes | 34c | 68.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 38c | 65.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 40c | 61.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 38c | 57.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 37c | 56.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 39c | 54.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 41c | 54.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…cf70backed No | 57c | 48.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…2909backed Yes | 37c | 48.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ad2cbacked Yes | 29c | 47.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 47.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 43c | 45.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 62c | 43.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 62c | 42.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 41.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b480backed Yes | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…8a7dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 34c | 37.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…8d4fbacked No | 60c | 36.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 38c | 36.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 35.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…fcacbacked No | 68c | 35.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 40c | 35.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 37c | 35.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 40c | 32.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 78c | 31.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 64c | 29.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…9d2ebacked No | 61c | 28.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 58c | 28.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…0509backed No | 62c | 27.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed No | 61c | 27.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed Yes | 41c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…81f4backed No | 62c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…bedcbacked No | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 64c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…942dbacked No | 64c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 65c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed No | 66c | 23.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 61c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…73f2backed No | 61c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…ac3ebacked No | 63c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 67c | 19.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 62c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 59c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed No | 68c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 69c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.