CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b6f70033e5ba4dd6486f306ed749d007bed625c9832b1605226231806ca15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 78,045$39,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,798.94 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 70,820$34,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,118.37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 49c | 6,982$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.69 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 49c | 926.45$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 747.81$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 47c | 623.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 79c | 405.19$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 23c | 312.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 31c | 312.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 47c | 206.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 24c | 157.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 46c | 155.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 12c | 136.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 58c | 125.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 120.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 99.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 29c | 97.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 93.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 27c | 87.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…d622backed Under | 64c | 59.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 46c | 53.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 55c | 48.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 50c | 48.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 39.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Over | 53c | 36.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 62c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Under | 50c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 70c | 31.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 61c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Over | 47c | 21.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Under | 64c | 15.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.