Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,120$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.65 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 121.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 67c | 99.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 36c | 57.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 34c | 47.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 33c | 45.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 34c | 44.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 42.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 68c | 41.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 64c | 34.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 34c | 33.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 67c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 64c | 30.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 70c | 26.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.