Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 55c | 2,370$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 47c | 2,108$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.53 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 72c | 1,226$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.06 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,122$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 29c | 1,046$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.59 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 32c | 1,009$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 997.09$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.09 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 8c | 669.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 76c | 633.47$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 24c | 615.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.46 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 609.75$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 441.96$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.03 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 68c | 381.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 21c | 284.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 23c | 254$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 68c | 249.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 205.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 70c | 184.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 75c | 176.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 23c | 120.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 76c | 104.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 24c | 92.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 55c | 75.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 22c | 67.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 21c | 65.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 76c | 65.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 63.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 22c | 51.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 26c | 40.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…b6ccbacked Over | 34c | 38.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Over | 34c | 32.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 43c | 32.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Under | 76c | 15.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.