TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7dc5…ad6cbacked Yes20c422$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+114.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…5009backed Yes21c414$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+378.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ed…6571backed Yes20c329$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+219.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59cf…a6cfbacked Yes20c275$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc97…cc45backed Yes20c240$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+69.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ea…bb18backed Yes20c211$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+497.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5303…2cafbacked Yes20c205$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+238.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbe…534abacked No79c175$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…8033backed No79c174$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc4…7211backed No80c152$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…c2d6backed Yes20c151$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+147.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d8…e87bbacked No80c151$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…e208backed Yes20c136$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe433…7af8backed Yes22c135$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+222.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes20c133.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.496625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ca…4655backed Yes20c133$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018e…a823backed No80c127$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f3f…7112backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2e…84fdbacked No80c124$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb42…056bbacked Yes22c121$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+191.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa273…0050backed No80c119$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eff…5a1fbacked No80c119$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc5…5216backed Yes20c118$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No79c114.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.778535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c3…133ebacked Yes21c109$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+373.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd839…fac9backed No80c108$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd413…c7d6backed Yes80c107.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4c…7b3bbacked Yes22c106$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+350.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa785…46ecbacked Yes21c105$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+373.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe8…2123backed No80c102$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes40c100.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.712646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No73c100.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.172272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5c…8256backed Yes20c94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25d…8ff2backed Yes21c93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+371.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8435…11d5backed No80c92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc1…e859backed No80c89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…842cbacked No80c88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3a…eaa1backed Yes20c87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+392.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b37…def5backed No80c82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b4…a9eabacked No80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8396…c7a3backed Yes20c73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b9…7e7cbacked Yes21c73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+383.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3148…962bbacked No80c70$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x766c…849dbacked No80c68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4756…95babacked No80c68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes18c67.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7522434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6034…9df0backed Yes20c66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735b…9de4backed No79c65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b16…e724backed No80c63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794d…6e56backed Yes20c63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+109.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc5…8d9abacked Yes21c59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf319…86cbbacked Yes20c55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+392.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9107…c3bcbacked Yes20c54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+109.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0a…6082backed Yes20c54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+147.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0d…f88dbacked No80c53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a0…b4c2backed No80c52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0f…8cf1backed No80c52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be2…c79abacked No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac10…0018backed No80c49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.120%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x143b…0018backed No80c47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8b…b5d6backed No80c47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9447…3ab2backed No80c47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe781…0a57backed No80c47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db2…6c71backed No79c46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…c244backed No78c46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8162…3449backed No80c44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…88ebbacked No80c44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e8…b632backed No80c44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…93cbbacked No78c44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd03…d5f1backed No80c43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc322…fddabacked No79c41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5574…7606backed No80c41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa968…77f5backed No80c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd84…bb0dbacked No79c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea20…9356backed No80c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd86…5f9abacked No78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…1a78backed No78c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfc…291abacked No78c38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de5…685ebacked No78c38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fa…4e33backed No80c37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff48…eb81backed No80c37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9498…7383backed No80c37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad42…d00dbacked No79c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…d45ebacked No78c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a9…ab84backed No79c34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c01…36b7backed No79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd144…4b36backed No80c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1eb…bf6bbacked No79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a0…a4e5backed No78c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a93…fbe7backed No80c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4d…f4e7backed No79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7708…9362backed No79c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1546…77f9backed No80c27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe316…791fbacked No79c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…e10fbacked No79c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2966…6b5bbacked No80c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes48c25.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1517741.8%74 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb4…1b13backed No79c24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.