South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42838710dc9c668d5ebdb4e37b282fce01cc09a298673df46ffcae095c1a59c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 2,341$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 34c | 1,409$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.69 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 1,043$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.57 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 77c | 651.63$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 649.22$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 634.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 69c | 432.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 413.86$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 70c | 371.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 310.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 303.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 68c | 283.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Yes | 68c | 283.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 58c | 246.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 63c | 220$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 188.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 72c | 155.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 79c | 101.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 44c | 91.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 65c | 86.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…093dbacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 59.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6ed5backed Yes | 43c | 57.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 58c | 51.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…4aadbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked No | 35c | 32.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 68c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.