South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181aa2d3459c4075b7afa36a82b28349a9eac120eb5b1e18ab55365734a9e89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,326$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 32c | 1,546$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,395$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 32c | 621.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 560$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 23c | 531.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 28c | 391.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 12c | 378.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 297$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 280$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 28c | 245.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 219$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…ac01backed Yes | 13c | 190.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 67c | 168$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 32c | 156.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…3fa9backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 59.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 28c | 52.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked No | 72c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.