Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 BMW Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd948f91617e7fdc099d3434cf256279ccc860505772ad84e88a783c2e230e8f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 42c | 4,207$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.06 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 58c | 3,805$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.9 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 402$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 40c | 356.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes | 63c | 281.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…eab1backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Yes | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed No | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked No | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 BMW Championship?this page
- Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 BMW Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.