TailMyPicks
Market

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes47c610.69$289 inWon+$321.2225449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No55c449.56$245 inLost-$245.49747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes39c335.26$131 inWon+$204.512441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes68c82.81$56 inWon+$26.8522546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No77c78.9$61 inLost-$60.756958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c72…a042backed Yes67c78.42$53 inWon+$25.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No63c78.22$49 inLost-$49.287062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes39c77.07$30 inWon+$47.012755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No69c60.89$42 inLost-$42.019554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No45c56.42$25 inLost-$25.394065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked No49c39.23$19 inLost-$19.312352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No63c22.86$14 inLost-$14.42669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No62c21$13 inLost-$13.12680.8%21 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No52c19.41$10 inLost-$10.0526839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.