Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5359ffd6fbc0e751d44da4b54363ae26811a97f68ef53e2eb24d48d68177c834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 62c | 27,379$16,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 38c | 10,480$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.4 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 38c | 5,891$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.65 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…e440backed Yes | 62c | 4,961$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 4,220$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 4,002$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 2,958$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.62 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 37c | 2,033$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.94 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 39c | 1,995$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 6c | 1,677$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 39c | 717.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 37c | 677$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 671.95$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 44c | 356.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 9c | 323.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 16c | 319.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 316$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 62c | 280.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 38c | 146.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 12c | 119.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 86.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…ef55backed Yes | 64c | 80.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 32c | 79.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 32c | 51.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 63c | 48.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…c6dabacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…d68ebacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…c97dbacked Yes | 60c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.