Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd889a0463f374ff80b78b21cc3b7df5deb765adb1da4d408230fdb77a527ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Panna Udvardy, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Panna Udvardy | 10c | 46,393$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Panna Udvardy | 2c | 12,637$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Panna Udvardy | 4c | 10,847$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Panna Udvardy | 7c | 10,000$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.19 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Panna Udvardy | 10c | 10,000$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.42 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Panna Udvardy | 5c | 5,020$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Panna Udvardy | 2c | 2,020$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Panna Udvardy | 2c | 1,374$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Panna Udvardy | 6c | 1,348$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Panna Udvardy | 3c | 1,335$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Panna Udvardy | 3c | 1,157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Panna Udvardy | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Panna Udvardy | 7c | 936.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Panna Udvardy | 8c | 622$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…55d0backed Panna Udvardy | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Panna Udvardy | 8c | 226.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Panna Udvardy | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Panna Udvardy | 8c | 125.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Panna Udvardy | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Panna Udvardy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.