Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Mubarak Shannan Zayid vs Alexei Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cd9d9a6251f37a8ccc3d8ec828fa0c83c40f0db7254b77bf17bf51cca83f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Popyrinof Zayid, Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Zayid | 1c | 15,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Zayid | 0c | 13,641$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Zayid | 4c | 10,497$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Zayid | 7c | 8,083$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.09 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Zayid | 1c | 5,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zayid | 1c | 4,600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zayid | 3c | 4,351$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zayid | 1c | 2,370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zayid | 3c | 2,305$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zayid | 2c | 1,817$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Zayid | 2c | 1,404$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Zayid | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Zayid | 5c | 1,070$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Zayid | 3c | 947.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Zayid | 4c | 824.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b7d2backed Zayid | 2c | 719.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Zayid | 3c | 690.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zayid | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Zayid | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Zayid | 4c | 403.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +171.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zayid | 8c | 395.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Zayid | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Zayid | 6c | 276$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Mubarak Shannan Zayid vs Alexei Popyrinthis page
- Zayid vs. Popyrin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.