TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Illinois Huskiesof Western Michigan Broncos, Northern Illinois Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17fd…976fbacked Western Michigan Broncos53c12,700$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7311844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+63.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Northern Illinois Huskies49c4,570$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.2424451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies57c4,072$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.711,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Michigan Broncos49c2,600$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2802,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Western Michigan Broncos49c2,081$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.494060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Western Michigan Broncos48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos41c1,790$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c1,191$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Western Michigan Broncos46c1,080$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.616636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Western Michigan Broncos50c1,021$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Northern Illinois Huskies50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Western Michigan Broncos47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Western Michigan Broncos45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Western Michigan Broncos33c740.11$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Illinois Huskies72c389.06$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.243,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Northern Illinois Huskies70c373.09$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Northern Illinois Huskies52c334.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Western Michigan Broncos28c316.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5166831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Michigan Broncos26c293.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Northern Illinois Huskies63c259$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Illinois Huskies75c252.7$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Western Michigan Broncos49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.57335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Northern Illinois Huskies49c207$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.353441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Western Michigan Broncos51c204.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0813052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Illinois Huskies70c195.69$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.453,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan Broncos25c174.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.881,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Illinois Huskies50c167.54$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.722,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Illinois Huskies73c167.23$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Western Michigan Broncos51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Western Michigan Broncos49c113$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.376950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Illinois Huskies46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.022,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Western Michigan Broncos49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c97.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Western Michigan Broncos39c81.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.223655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Western Michigan Broncos50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Illinois Huskies77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Western Michigan Broncos49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.385549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Northern Illinois Huskies47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies49c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee8backed Western Michigan Broncos54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Northern Illinois Huskies46c55.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3037835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859f…7d4cbacked Western Michigan Broncos54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Western Michigan Broncos50c55.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Western Michigan Broncos51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Western Michigan Broncos51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.462653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Northern Illinois Huskies76c32.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.822065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Western Michigan Broncos43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Western Michigan Broncos53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Western Michigan Broncos53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Western Michigan Broncos50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Western Michigan Broncos53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Western Michigan Broncos51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3174…b136backed Northern Illinois Huskies72c29.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Western Michigan Broncos53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.213560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.724362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northern Illinois Huskies49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.744355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Northern Illinois Huskies51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.273650%18 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3922…18b0backed Western Michigan Broncos53c22.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Northern Illinois Huskies47c22.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Northern Illinois Huskies51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.