Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Texas State Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c87e89af8acf15b49691bb61eba0fd717c5d102c0131631480a0f22948a9c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas State Bobcatsof Marshall Thundering Herd, Texas State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 12,700$7,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed Texas State Bobcats | 44c | 12,700$5,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 9,026$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.88 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 6,894$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 5,359$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 1,927$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 1,781$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas State Bobcats | 59c | 1,409$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 63c | 1,327$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 1,132$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Texas State Bobcats | 53c | 1,105$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 28c | 945.89$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 930.21$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.17 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas State Bobcats | 59c | 767.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 742.31$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 716$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 658$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Texas State Bobcats | 36c | 620$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 574.32$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Texas State Bobcats | 67c | 516.47$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 475.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 39c | 469.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 28c | 452.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Texas State Bobcats | 36c | 427.26$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 36c | 378.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 335.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 306$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Texas State Bobcats | 35c | 286.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 222.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Texas State Bobcats | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 222$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 207.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 190.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Texas State Bobcats | 51c | 174.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas State Bobcats | 63c | 154.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 148.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Texas State Bobcats | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 105.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas State Bobcats | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 67c | 82.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas State Bobcats | 70c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas State Bobcats | 60c | 72.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Texas State Bobcats | 46c | 67.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 66.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 62.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 58.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 58.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Texas State Bobcats | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Texas State Bobcats | 41c | 48.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 41.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Texas State Bobcats | 38c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 62c | 37.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 46c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas State Bobcats | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…94c4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 31.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…98afbacked Texas State Bobcats | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Texas State Bobcats | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 63c | 21.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…cfffbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 20.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 17.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Texas State Bobcatsthis page
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Texas State Bobcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Texas State Bobcats: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.