College Football · resolved market
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665e1ca87d1ddf532490ec30f1c57b718690dc8ba554d6a32cd008d4dc3b494b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware Blue Hensof Delaware Blue Hens, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Delaware Blue Hens | 52c | 25,927$13,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.35 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Delaware Blue Hens | 50c | 19,022$9,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.62 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UTEP | 48c | 18,553$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.64 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UTEP | 50c | 13,245$6,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.5 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTEP | 50c | 5,494$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Delaware Blue Hens | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed UTEP | 48c | 4,400$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 50c | 3,703$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed UTEP | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed UTEP | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UTEP | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Delaware Blue Hens | 57c | 1,347$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.36 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UTEP | 43c | 1,242$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed UTEP | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed UTEP | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UTEP | 50c | 937$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UTEP | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed UTEP | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed UTEP | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked UTEP | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed UTEP | 50c | 44.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UTEP | 49c | 42.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed UTEP | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed UTEP | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-5.5)Delaware Blue Hens won
- UTEP vs. Delaware Blue HensDelaware Blue Hens won
- UTEP vs. Delaware Blue Hens: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.