MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c0e9a270aee7a1960b3258bef4553075021b3fa9fb5e6bf4d9707889113260

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over	50c	27,361$13,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,720.19	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	7,076$3,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,537.87	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	51c	6,286$3,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,205.92	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	50c	5,411$2,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,705.5	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Under	50c	4,700$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	52c	3,108$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.04	624	47.6%297 W · 327 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	51c	2,058$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.61	505	53.5%270 W · 235 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	50c	1,868$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	1,800$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	48c	1,667$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.84	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	49c	1,617$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.72	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	1,480$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.03	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	37c	1,350$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.89	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	50c	1,305$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.37	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	51c	1,057$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.37	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	454	51.3%233 W · 221 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	65c	998.99$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.09	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under	51c	980$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.6	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under	53c	534.3$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.18	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	49c	499.99$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.05	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	50c	490$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	51c	450$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under	53c	450$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.5	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under	50c	403.55$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.78	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	384	55.2%212 W · 172 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	373.57$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.11	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under	50c	312$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	51c	261$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.11	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	49c	255$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.05	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	50c	246.36$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.18	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	667	48.7%325 W · 342 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	50c	195.6$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.8	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	39c	152$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.76	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	50c	135.18$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.59	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under	46c	123.97$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.06	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	54c	114.35$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	50c	112.55$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.28	657	49.2%323 W · 334 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	61c	112$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.68	2,546	45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L	-74.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd60…3927backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	96.65$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	52c	80.07$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.69	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	57c	75.61$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under	50c	57.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Under	50c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	559	53.1%297 W · 262 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedd…2bcfbacked Under	53c	46.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over	53c	42.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.62	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce2…957fbacked Over	48c	41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+48%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Under	53c	37.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	58c	34.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under	44c	29.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	1,374	54.2%745 W · 629 L	+16.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under	37c	29.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Over	48c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over	50c	23.8$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	174	50.6%88 W · 86 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesColorado Rockies won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event