MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd73fd8232bf6c14a16069562bc999220f3c2c53dce06a5c222ee523bc1760d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 867,957$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.45 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 8,302$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 6,297$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 6,054$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 4,546$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 2,090$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,999$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,331$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.79 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 751.03$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.95 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 615.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 598.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Colorado Rockies | 17c | 550$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 241.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 236.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 218.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 212.81$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 194.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 179.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Colorado Rockies | 22c | 162$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 136.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 130.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 103.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 102.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 75.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 71.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 69.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 59.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 49.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 41.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 35.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 34.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 32.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 24.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 17.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…9266backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 13.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.