TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,296 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcff0…fa1abacked Under4c1,900$78 inLost-$784522.2%10 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+117.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Under4c1,900$78 inLost-$784320.9%9 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under6c1,000$60 inLost-$602317.4%4 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+393.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Under6c999.99$60 inLost-$604818.8%9 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick7cpaid+162.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Under3c899.99$27 inLost-$271442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under4c695$25 inLost-$24.98215.9%13 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c464.09$361 inWon+$103.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c416.78$179 inLost-$179.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon+$150.882,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under35c300$106 inLost-$105.6782741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c296$85 inWon+$211.38,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under80c279$223 inLost-$222.871,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under21c257$54 inLost-$53.971,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under6c250.99$15 inLost-$15.118630.2%26 W · 60 L+11.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d1c…7237backed Under22c227.73$50 inLost-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under16c210.83$35 inLost-$34.546,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over71c180.03$128 inWon+$51.635,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under42c65.23$28 inLost-$27.553,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under18c60$11 inLost-$10.88,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over66c38.04$25 inWon+$12.752,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under36c37.7$14 inLost-$13.5727053.7%145 W · 125 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over46c29.39$14 inWon+$15.8716734.7%58 W · 109 L-17.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over74c27.8$20 inWon+$7.365,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c21.47$12 inWon+$9.232,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over57c20.79$12 inWon+$8.9424654.9%135 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.