MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bfda6da06ff3980ae76be9cff2d3802848c229cb4dfb27555d135ac55b780b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 10,717$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 46c | 10,191$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.96 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 8,109$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,953.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 5,671$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 4,901$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 39c | 4,240$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 39c | 4,196$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.82 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 50c | 3,907$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.4 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 2,895$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.26 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 1,705$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.43 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,631$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,586$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,484$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.87 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 1,475$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 1,418$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.22 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 1,387$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.83 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,274$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 1,152$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 28c | 1,011$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.85 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 28c | 1,011$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Under | 54c | 922.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 886.88$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 800.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 46c | 740.74$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 28c | 706$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 55c | 542.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 54c | 527.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.45 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 45c | 460.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 404.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 323$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 48c | 299.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 51c | 296.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 21c | 256$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 47c | 180.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Over | 47c | 144.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 141.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 132$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 51c | 114.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 51c | 102.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 46c | 88.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 52c | 84.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 57c | 79.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 62c | 59.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 47c | 58.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 47c | 58.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 51c | 56.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 54.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Under | 53c | 54.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 47c | 51.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 51c | 51.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 28c | 49.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 28c | 49.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Over | 28c | 49.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 51c | 48.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 47c | 38.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 51c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 47c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 47c | 27.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 47c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Over | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Under | 51c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.