TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c10,421$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.652,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under43c7,751$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33313655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under11c5,243$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.341,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under56c3,996$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.058658.1%50 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c2,856$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c2,751$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Under43c2,063$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8878053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Under62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2406647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under2c1,800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,379$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over44c1,261$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.351,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c1,261$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.351,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Under42c1,123$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.7311347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under43c803.58$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5428154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under52c770.56$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6911446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under61c608.91$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37012154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under42c558.23$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.463,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c547.87$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.596,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c529.61$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.731,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Under47c406.45$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.035742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bc…352ebacked Under50c335.22$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.614259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Over30c333.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under9c328.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8333515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c319.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.591,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12926759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c281.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c259.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.591,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over56c258.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.311,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under12c246.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.636,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under33c195.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.383,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over58c193.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92e…fcbdbacked Under70c192.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over47c181.31$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.85,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4137256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Over58c171.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.056756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over55c158.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8315349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under46c147.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.361,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over57c139.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.378,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over48c137.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.366,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over52c115.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under43c111$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.733036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over36c107.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.029045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515138.4%58 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433032.7%108 W · 222 L-22.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under42c86.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4228350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2146557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over50c85.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under57c79.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7913053.1%69 W · 61 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over58c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under43c74.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0484140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under58c70.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.091,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c59.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9999744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x778a…7a2abacked Over36c54.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.025257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under43c51.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3818547.6%88 W · 97 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3813046.9%61 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3817749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3812049.2%59 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over35c49.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3813144.3%58 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over55c47.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3433864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3a…89b1backed Over33c45.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over58c42.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.058560%51 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530963.1%195 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66848.5%33 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c36.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2970455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under42c36.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over54c35.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3340148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over38c35.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8482551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over58c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7411553%61 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486150.8%31 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c33.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under45c31.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8311149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Under43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.474332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over62c28.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0744737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over47c27.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.589243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under65c26.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.069549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over62c22.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.635,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c20.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.825,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.