Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca275f4d5751fd557b92da6fcd9081d0e4f302cc9b7b8500c42518a2b061ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof G2 Esports, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Leviatán Esports | 59c | 2,156$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.46 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed G2 Esports | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports | 39c | 737.6$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked G2 Esports | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…5fafbacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 128.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 Esports | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…a77bbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 74.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed G2 Esports | 41c | 58.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leviatán Esports | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Leviatán Esports | 57c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…ac80backed Leviatán Esports | 57c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.