Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Gabriela Ruse vs Mirra Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9371513b1b7d2e2bfb27ac2af0922bf802e03f3a37199976d02727f9e49edec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Ruse, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5925…e994backed Ruse | 14c | 8,007$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruse | 6c | 6,034$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruse | 7c | 5,908$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruse | 6c | 3,267$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Ruse | 11c | 2,886$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ruse | 6c | 2,427$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ruse | 13c | 2,295$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Ruse | 7c | 1,986$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruse | 10c | 1,747$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Ruse | 11c | 1,662$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Ruse | 14c | 1,437$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ruse | 13c | 1,069$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Ruse | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ruse | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Ruse | 10c | 823.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruse | 12c | 750.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Ruse | 13c | 670.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Ruse | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Ruse | 16c | 635.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Ruse | 13c | 476.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruse | 6c | 452.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ruse | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruse | 7c | 409.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked Ruse | 5c | 387.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Ruse | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ruse | 5c | 346$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Ruse | 7c | 340$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Ruse | 14c | 320$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Ruse | 13c | 302.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Ruse | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Ruse | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ruse | 12c | 237$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Ruse | 5c | 225.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ff…f325backed Ruse | 18c | 225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ruse | 6c | 216.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Ruse | 11c | 208.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Ruse | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ruse | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ruse | 13c | 172.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Ruse | 7c | 164$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Ruse | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Ruse | 14c | 102.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ruse | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…8c85backed Ruse | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Ruse | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ruse | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ruse | 13c | 93.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ruse | 13c | 88.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Andreeva | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Gabriela Ruse vs Mirra Andreevathis page
- Ruse vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Ruse vs. Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.