Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0909e0f8ff260ec7c08fe935e39bf1358b2874dbdbcc0765390cbfc88fe3d045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof Sentinels, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Envy | 63c | 6,000$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.29 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Sentinels | 37c | 3,067$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.95 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Sentinels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sentinels | 37c | 810.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sentinels | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Envy | 63c | 316.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Sentinels | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…9064backed Sentinels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Sentinels | 37c | 98.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Envy | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Envy | 60c | 48.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…8c1dbacked Sentinels | 40c | 48.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Team Envy | 61c | 48.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sentinels | 40c | 46.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Sentinels | 39c | 45.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Sentinels | 39c | 43.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…2f37backed Team Envy | 63c | 42.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +86%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sentinels | 37c | 40.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Team Envy | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…cbefbacked Team Envy | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)Team Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerTeam Envy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.