Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c6729724c0ec0bb265c227b42b93c75b545a2b0d1832bf044eeeff474d26e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof FUT Esports, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0588…8f18backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,477$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 29c | 1,100$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 1,066$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 21c | 695.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 656$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 567.73$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 525$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports | 43c | 515$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed FUT Esports | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed FUT Esports | 25c | 498.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 410.21$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FUT Esports | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…6e2bbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 146.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed FUT Esports | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Gentle Mates | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed FUT Esports | 10c | 107.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FUT Esports | 24c | 87.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed FUT Esports | 26c | 86.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 64.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 57.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…354fbacked Gentle Mates | 78c | 45.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 40.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.