CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe143d5caf0c1ebef068d10c39aac4b717ed16c7953a877f8fe8df986e721ab81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof WBT, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Noir Verse | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed WBT | 20c | 436.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 39c | 263.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Noir Verse | 64c | 207.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Noir Verse | 54c | 179.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked WBT | 47c | 114.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed WBT | 43c | 101.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WBT | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 22c | 79.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…05c5backed WBT | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Noir Verse | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Noir Verse | 36c | 54.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Noir Verse | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Noir Verse | 39c | 50.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noir Verse | 45c | 49.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Noir Verse | 76c | 42.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed WBT | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Noir Verse | 39c | 38.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 47c | 36.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Noir Verse | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked WBT | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Noir Verse | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…2909backed WBT | 73c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Noir Verse | 74c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed WBT | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked WBT | 73c | 14.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsWBT won
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse - Map 2 WinnerWBT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.