TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
5starof Kaleido Gaming, 5star
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f1…8680backed Kaleido Gaming9c15,651$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.522,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf02…ee21backed Kaleido Gaming27c1,508$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96fe…e78cbacked Kaleido Gaming54c1,385$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.611650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kaleido Gaming5c1,133$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.352,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Kaleido Gaming5c1,113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.947741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f18…8adbbacked Kaleido Gaming46c1,062$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 5star48c1,032$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.982,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 5star49c911.89$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.432,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 5star48c900.05$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.951,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed 5star23c899.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.9928637.8%108 W · 178 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 5star49c823.11$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.433,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c6…7457backed Kaleido Gaming54c740.44$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.275556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e4…fe39backed Kaleido Gaming30c701.18$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed 5star53c634.6$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6845745.1%206 W · 251 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 5star60c532.31$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5772645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…29ffbacked Kaleido Gaming58c517.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002020%4 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed 5star36c496.05$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2734626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 5star32c470.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.887,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad21…ec73backed Kaleido Gaming67c464.88$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.35757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Kaleido Gaming3c463$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8936540%146 W · 219 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 5star69c452.9$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0923847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed 5star50c445.44$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.953145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed Kaleido Gaming71c407.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Kaleido Gaming56c400.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3133462.9%210 W · 124 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Kaleido Gaming57c352.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa312…9590backed 5star31c346.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed 5star37c338.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.574348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked 5star37c328$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6428440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed 5star41c300.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.795343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Kaleido Gaming19c299.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.395,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Kaleido Gaming50c293$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.517645.5%80 W · 96 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed Kaleido Gaming68c289.76$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.668858%51 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed 5star39c275.56$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3417143.9%75 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 5star65c269.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.775,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed 5star55c258.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.772755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed Kaleido Gaming55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.493354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked 5star42c237.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5116336.2%59 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Kaleido Gaming44c216$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0434750.1%174 W · 173 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 5star43c192.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.584,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed 5star54c186$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9850548.1%243 W · 262 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Kaleido Gaming73c167.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.035646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb003…482dbacked 5star60c167.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Kaleido Gaming60c165.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1739469.3%273 W · 121 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed 5star64c156.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.720935.9%75 W · 134 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked 5star40c137.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.831030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked 5star55c129$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7123037.8%87 W · 143 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed 5star56c129$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.15770.2%40 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed 5star29c116.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8412540%50 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kaleido Gaming51c110.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.032,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94dc…5e19backed 5star56c107.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked 5star50c102.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.884837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed 5star42c100.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.586749.3%33 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed 5star33c91.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2816644.6%74 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e0…03c7backed Kaleido Gaming66c91.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52dd…005dbacked Kaleido Gaming55c91.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked 5star30c88.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8715756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Kaleido Gaming49c88.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.456,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…f2d9backed Kaleido Gaming50c77.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Kaleido Gaming72c69.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503375.8%25 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf01b…b282backed 5star65c69.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed 5star56c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.588038.8%31 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Kaleido Gaming56c63.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.072,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed 5star46c60.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.337842.3%33 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Kaleido Gaming66c53.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2642371.9%304 W · 119 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Kaleido Gaming58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913163.4%83 W · 48 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Kaleido Gaming67c46.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9389630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Kaleido Gaming67c46.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.935251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed 5star60c43.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3414169.5%98 W · 43 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Kaleido Gaming58c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351a…f040backed 5star69c41.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Kaleido Gaming46c37.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.258052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed 5star38c37.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9612854.7%70 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Kaleido Gaming55c36.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8229661.1%181 W · 115 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Kaleido Gaming47c33.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615053.3%80 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kaleido Gaming54c32.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.782,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Kaleido Gaming43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3522450.9%114 W · 110 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Kaleido Gaming79c30.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Kaleido Gaming50c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154161%25 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked 5star75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6618680.6%150 W · 36 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Kaleido Gaming50c24.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.533348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked 5star53c23.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.151352%267 W · 246 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Kaleido Gaming49c22.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.259160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed Kaleido Gaming57c21.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216647.6%79 W · 87 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.