MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198d6816d854835743f99e7ce6c19084ed5b14553e798c6fefed60e48d4af344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 43,517$23,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,934.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 16,095$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,852.47 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 9,195$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 2,071$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.19 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,902$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 1,447$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,112$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.95 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 862$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 821.94$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.37 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 577.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 533$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 434.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 425.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 388.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 384.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 324.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 320.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 301.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 296.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 276.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 253.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 248.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 213.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 166$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 165.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 160.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 106.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 103.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 96.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 92.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 91.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 88.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 76.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 76.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 75.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…8804backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 62.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 60.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 55.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 53.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…db19backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 45.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 44.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 22.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 20.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.