NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e6069bb599337b9ef3146d1d6ee3d7c4fa87c55774ed1c4e8120a3a23750e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 65c | 15,090$9,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,755.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 7,468$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 58c | 5,875$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.31 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 5,567$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 3,197$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.1 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 1,795$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 1,453$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.82 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 1,167$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 955.16$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.54 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 802.6$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.02 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 702.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 657.61$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 28c | 621$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 30c | 578.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 70c | 564.11$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 349.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 336.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 43c | 310.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 56c | 295.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 26c | 264$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 41c | 252.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 230$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 201.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…332dbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 171$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Under | 58c | 157.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 149$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 44c | 119.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 43c | 107.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 55c | 92.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 57c | 88.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 74.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Over | 45c | 67.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 44c | 59.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Over | 44c | 53.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 57c | 47.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…47b3backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 43c | 37.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 47c | 37.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…b162backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 42c | 31.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…5f07backed Under | 58c | 30.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 56c | 29.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 45c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…bdbabacked Over | 46c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e99…4609backed Over | 46c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…f355backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09eb…c2ddbacked Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…61e3backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…42d5backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…7b47backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. StarsStars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.