TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gonzalo Buenoof Gonzalo Bueno, Lautaro Midon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9544…826ebacked Lautaro Midon0c10,782$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.788242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lautaro Midon58c9,139$5,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.417,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gonzalo Bueno42c6,351$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.488,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Lautaro Midon60c3,997$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.4524558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Lautaro Midon60c3,777$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.8313958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Bueno42c2,658$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.5611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Gonzalo Bueno45c2,327$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.794,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Gonzalo Bueno40c2,048$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.1137741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Gonzalo Bueno51c1,638$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.8140548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lautaro Midon51c1,621$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.034,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Gonzalo Bueno31c1,610$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.799341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gonzalo Bueno59c678.51$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.298,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Lautaro Midon21c660.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.991,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Gonzalo Bueno57c639.62$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6465952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea2…3e80backed Lautaro Midon58c577.69$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.066075%45 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Lautaro Midon47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lautaro Midon55c495$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.339,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Gonzalo Bueno44c433.62$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.552,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Gonzalo Bueno57c339.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.951,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gonzalo Bueno55c303.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.183,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gonzalo Bueno34c215.87$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Gonzalo Bueno56c212.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6948453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Gonzalo Bueno56c212.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6918459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Gonzalo Bueno57c209.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6550156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lautaro Midon42c209.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.942,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gonzalo Bueno52c208.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9456754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Gonzalo Bueno54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0973549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Gonzalo Bueno40c190.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1852854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Gonzalo Bueno59c175.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.465,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa260…3844backed Gonzalo Bueno56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gonzalo Bueno40c164.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.221,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Gonzalo Bueno62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65b…5547backed Lautaro Midon48c147.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.333253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…1414backed Gonzalo Bueno61c144.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.279645.8%44 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gonzalo Bueno53c132.47$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Gonzalo Bueno49c130.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3248650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lautaro Midon55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Gonzalo Bueno52c112.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.982,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Gonzalo Bueno59c110.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7455360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gonzalo Bueno55c102.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.236,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lautaro Midon65c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Gonzalo Bueno52c95.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Gonzalo Bueno45c89.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3357953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Gonzalo Bueno53c87.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3427147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gonzalo Bueno40c85.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.283,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Gonzalo Bueno40c82.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4965346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lautaro Midon47c76.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b53…1fe3backed Gonzalo Bueno55c76.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3912560.8%76 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Gonzalo Bueno53c72.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.981,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Gonzalo Bueno41c69.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7221549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lautaro Midon59c68.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.622,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Gonzalo Bueno72c68.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.981,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lautaro Midon60c66.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.971,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Lautaro Midon58c64.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0432837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Gonzalo Bueno38c62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4450259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Lautaro Midon53c61.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6431358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Lautaro Midon60c59.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911759.8%70 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Lautaro Midon50c59.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9238754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Gonzalo Bueno65c50.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7422550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb1…c96ebacked Lautaro Midon39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lautaro Midon57c48.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Lautaro Midon64c44.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1825265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lautaro Midon61c37.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7936135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Gonzalo Bueno43c33.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2233557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gonzalo Bueno57c32.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.057,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lautaro Midon46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2f…1b25backed Gonzalo Bueno62c29.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.362763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Gonzalo Bueno59c29.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Lautaro Midon62c28.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Gonzalo Bueno59c26.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7516645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gonzalo Bueno59c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.446,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Lautaro Midon41c25.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3114828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked Gonzalo Bueno49c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5211258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Lautaro Midon45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.874955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Gonzalo Bueno56c22.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9435344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Gonzalo Bueno50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Gonzalo Bueno50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1097745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7b…c2f4backed Lautaro Midon59c17.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.246065%39 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Gonzalo Bueno80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.291880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.