Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a15c99470ef1352c15050a8be80b954ec2166a840f142b53d184ef3ebca6856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Karolina Pliskova, Elena Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 63,447$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 25,070$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.72 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Karolina Pliskova | 2c | 20,250$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.22 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Karolina Pliskova | 3c | 14,324$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.37 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 13,480$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.29 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Karolina Pliskova | 2c | 12,210$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 9,070$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 6,924$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Karolina Pliskova | 3c | 6,374$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 8c | 6,059$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.28 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 5,519$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Karolina Pliskova | 11c | 5,063$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.31 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Karolina Pliskova | 14c | 4,899$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.63 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 4,128$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Karolina Pliskova | 8c | 2,948$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 2,600$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Karolina Pliskova | 9c | 2,079$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Karolina Pliskova | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 1,492$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Karolina Pliskova | 5c | 1,050$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Karolina Pliskova | 15c | 1,005$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…61d9backed Karolina Pliskova | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…3d06backed Karolina Pliskova | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 753.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 620$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 525.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Karolina Pliskova | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karolina Pliskova | 3c | 472.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Karolina Pliskova | 3c | 412.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 409.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 408.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 399.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 398.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 397.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 391.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Karolina Pliskova | 10c | 351.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 324.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Karolina Pliskova | 5c | 298.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked Karolina Pliskova | 10c | 274.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Karolina Pliskova | 11c | 272.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 199.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Karolina Pliskova | 16c | 199.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 16.9%22 W · 108 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 6c | 184.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Karolina Pliskova | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Karolina Pliskova | 7c | 163.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karolina Pliskova | 14c | 143.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…6de6backed Karolina Pliskova | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Karolina Pliskova | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 95.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Karolina Pliskova | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Pliskova vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.