Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d4dea71388d691dcbd6772f2f8d65b67c5b727f7631d95ca2a1719993107c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 60c | 723.32$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 369$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 40c | 299$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 297.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 73c | 235.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 227.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Yes | 41c | 217.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes | 67c | 148.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 120.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…fa12backed Yes | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 111.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 103.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 97.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 18c | 81.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 34c | 62.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 60.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 28c | 56.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…b663backed No | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 59c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.