Champions League · resolved market
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406e8c3ae79db082602a05c31750370428461a243719059922fb01b3f926b16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 63c | 3,987$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.9 | 428 | 50.2%215 W · 213 L | +25.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 2,587$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.35 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 2,337$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 1,365$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 1,146$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 517 | 46.2%239 W · 278 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 865$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 603.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 390 | 42.3%165 W · 225 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 462.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 70c | 457.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 68c | 372.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 276.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 252.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 535 | 46.7%250 W · 285 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 31c | 242$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 235.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 235.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 34c | 229.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 23c | 217.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 205.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 68c | 191.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 11c | 168.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 31c | 164.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 54c | 154.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 69c | 144.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 69c | 130.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 100.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Yes | 73c | 100.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 91.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 362 | 60.2%218 W · 144 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 31c | 80.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 80.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 78.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 67c | 74.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 64c | 73.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 286 | 36.4%104 W · 182 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 35c | 53.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 50.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 31c | 44.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 37c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 36.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 329 | 55.9%184 W · 145 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 34c | 33.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 70c | 26.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 68c | 26.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 284 | 50%142 W · 142 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 52c | 24.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Yes | 73c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 73c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Yes | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Yes | 73c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 64c | 16.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Yes | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tre Fiori FC win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.