Champions League · resolved market
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7627fc4aebcc8805d30fa2546159d29760358836e8d6af4460b797f43a7297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 61c | 7,576$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.21 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 6,208$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.79 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 3,207$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.33 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,529$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.84 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 2c | 774.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 386$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Over | 46c | 229.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 219$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 56c | 179.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 132.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…05d3backed Over | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 42c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 90.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 42c | 78.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 68.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 50.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 45c | 48.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 34.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 56c | 31.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 57c | 26.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.