Champions League · resolved market
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac74c8bd129d1aeaad3e5de6dcda517de9ac528892505a6a8c19735855a15019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,018$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.05 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 46c | 870$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 400.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 358.02$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked No | 53c | 189.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 47c | 179.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 132.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 36c | 122.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 49.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 50c | 38.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 65c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.