Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c85a7248549cf4e08b305a134e2dd5d339d59ad3c217794857257f2c39baf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 1,727$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 70c | 822.03$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 70c | 648.48$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 579.55$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 72c | 502.08$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 28c | 478.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 463.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 445.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 168.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 113.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 67c | 101.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 61.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 55.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 31c | 51.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 70c | 50.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Under | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 17.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: FK Liepāja O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: FK Liepāja O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Dečić Tuzi: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FK Dečić Tuzi (-1.5)FK Liepāja won
- Spread: FK Liepāja (-1.5)FK Dečić Tuzi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.