Champions League · resolved market
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022eb6dbb953bb9d9955bd8ddf8fc025043a6314da32f62a033f53eb7f81dde0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 15,004$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.62 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 33c | 14,242$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 3,389$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.63 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…79a8backed Yes | 70c | 3,300$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 3,101$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.45 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.88 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 34c | 2,241$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,805$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.59 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 1,294$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.92 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 67c | 1,151$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 33c | 1,118$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 1,094$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 64c | 808.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.23 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 68c | 785$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 69c | 639.18$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 61c | 598$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 32c | 590.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 68c | 548.53$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 33c | 501.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 65c | 461.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 68c | 453.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 13c | 441$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 22c | 411.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 68c | 405.46$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 394.08$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 269.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 250.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 36c | 233$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 33c | 206$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 192.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 63c | 189.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 69c | 175$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 169.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 163.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 63c | 116.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 25c | 113.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 64c | 89.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 37c | 80.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 33c | 77.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 78c | 63.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 78c | 63.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 66c | 53.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 51.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…d17dbacked Yes | 78c | 51.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 65c | 50.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 32c | 43.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 68c | 42.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 31c | 36.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 32c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…9878backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Yes | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…b128backed Yes | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.