Champions League · resolved market
Will KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffb428ce12cf3ad9563993503033eec66ed584694d06d704e1cd919a38f6d50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 4,037$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.15 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,231$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.48 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,659$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 945$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 317$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 15c | 266.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 22c | 232.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 229.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 107.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 21c | 107.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 21c | 59.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 79cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.