Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Hubert Hurkacz vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7806f821fe5bc74bbd7349904a3facfaec033c91cb2761bd00b9bceccfbda59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hubert Hurkaczof Hubert Hurkacz, Moez Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Moez Echargui | 8c | 16,713$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.82 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Moez Echargui | 5c | 13,891$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Moez Echargui | 5c | 12,153$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Moez Echargui | 0c | 9,716$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Moez Echargui | 10c | 5,837$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Moez Echargui | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Moez Echargui | 14c | 4,055$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Moez Echargui | 5c | 2,982$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Moez Echargui | 5c | 2,803$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Moez Echargui | 2c | 2,800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Moez Echargui | 11c | 2,274$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Moez Echargui | 6c | 1,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Moez Echargui | 14c | 1,515$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Moez Echargui | 5c | 1,130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Moez Echargui | 7c | 821.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Moez Echargui | 12c | 788.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Moez Echargui | 14c | 741.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Moez Echargui | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Moez Echargui | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Moez Echargui | 14c | 258.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Moez Echargui | 7c | 218.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Moez Echargui | 11c | 167.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Moez Echargui | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.