TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vilius Gaubasof Vilius Gaubas, Frederico Ferreira Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva7c6,844$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.737,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Vilius Gaubas76c4,627$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.791,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva33c3,861$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Vilius Gaubas71c3,393$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.164,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Frederico Ferreira Silva44c2,045$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.014,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva22c1,419$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.934,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Frederico Ferreira Silva25c1,240$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.662,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vilius Gaubas49c1,075$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.284,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Vilius Gaubas77c903.42$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6836157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Frederico Ferreira Silva31c816.86$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2312147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Vilius Gaubas71c658.87$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva30c619.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5350340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva31c565$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1555241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva34c514.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.88,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva18c389.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Frederico Ferreira Silva17c316.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.462445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva23c301.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.596,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Vilius Gaubas71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Frederico Ferreira Silva30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Vilius Gaubas70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7114757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva34c275.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.072,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Vilius Gaubas70c234.29$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2972542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf117…cf8dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva27c234.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Frederico Ferreira Silva22c232.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.595,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Vilius Gaubas69c223.58$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.311,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Frederico Ferreira Silva30c217.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1453843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva25c215.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8710144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Frederico Ferreira Silva28c201$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2896755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Frederico Ferreira Silva50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Vilius Gaubas69c199.49$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4940161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Vilius Gaubas71c199$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7189364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Vilius Gaubas71c197.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3420764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Vilius Gaubas72c194.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1343067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Frederico Ferreira Silva23c176.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Vilius Gaubas69c175$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2534242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva29c172.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0118148.1%87 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva7c169.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.947,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Frederico Ferreira Silva31c169$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3943242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Vilius Gaubas75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Vilius Gaubas57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1451339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Vilius Gaubas69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva11c144.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.818,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Vilius Gaubas69c144.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.112065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Vilius Gaubas70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Vilius Gaubas70c135.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7166452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Frederico Ferreira Silva25c128.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5574346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva29c119.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Vilius Gaubas69c112.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.262,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfa…ebfcbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva44c106.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Vilius Gaubas58c102.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1716154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Vilius Gaubas66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3414272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Vilius Gaubas70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3056062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…6c52backed Vilius Gaubas75c98.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva34c96.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.292,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Frederico Ferreira Silva52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Frederico Ferreira Silva33c91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Vilius Gaubas69c90.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1111945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva30c86.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Frederico Ferreira Silva32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva38c72.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.282,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…57d5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva16c68.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva25c67.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Vilius Gaubas72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.222963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf0…0c64backed Vilius Gaubas71c64.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Vilius Gaubas49c61.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2370456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Vilius Gaubas67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Frederico Ferreira Silva31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Vilius Gaubas70c57.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3289859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Vilius Gaubas70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Vilius Gaubas71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva37c49.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4132853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Vilius Gaubas56c48.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.383,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Vilius Gaubas60c46.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Frederico Ferreira Silva31c44.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb137…8039backed Vilius Gaubas57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Vilius Gaubas69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4814369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva36c42.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Vilius Gaubas68c39.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Vilius Gaubas57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Vilius Gaubas70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.578043.8%35 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Vilius Gaubas71c28.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2216856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Vilius Gaubas72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7812166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecc3…6defbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva43c26.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Vilius Gaubas77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Vilius Gaubas69c20.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.492,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Vilius Gaubas76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8231366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Vilius Gaubas71c19.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7221555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Vilius Gaubas62c18.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Vilius Gaubas70c18.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4915346.4%71 W · 82 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Vilius Gaubas68c14.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8523658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.