Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075d2c6a900f703d481f331773b0da4b14a1d90eeb4b04cc93b2ad59eebd1633
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 45c | 3,729$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.55 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 54c | 2,100$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.22 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,098$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 57c | 1,735$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 1,721$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 1,556$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 800.57$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.92 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 56c | 496.07$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 494.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 65c | 446.05$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 24c | 416.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 402$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 386.14$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 54c | 370.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 29c | 344$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 16c | 308.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 278.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 65c | 204$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 26c | 199.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 51c | 190.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 173.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 156.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 138.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 9c | 119.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 111.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 101.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 101.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 71c | 65.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 64.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 58c | 59.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 39c | 57.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 56.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 50.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 24c | 49.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 36c | 49.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 34c | 45.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 31c | 41.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 80c | 33.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 39c | 33.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 34c | 29.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 28.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed No | 74c | 27.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 68c | 23.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 66c | 22.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 66c | 19.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 68c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.