Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41695eaa4b9dd65f199b265bd21e6d4561dd14a2e68eb93c97a2d820308f104a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,490$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 38c | 1,264$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 41c | 903.02$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 691.63$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 60c | 682.04$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 671$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 644.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 419.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 413.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 387.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 378.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 320.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 256.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 55c | 224.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 169.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 149.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 140.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 138.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 8c | 137.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 130.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 41c | 108.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked No | 48c | 104.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed Yes | 18c | 102.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 24c | 102.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 89.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 51c | 84.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 58c | 76.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…5d22backed Yes | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 66.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 46c | 65.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 53.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 48c | 52.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 48.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 41.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 57c | 39.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 50c | 38.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 44c | 36.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 27.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 58c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.