Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61600c660ca719259a7d47e0c7219f92c8f79cb9a63afaa1aa4be742bd66832a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.18 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,329$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 2,215$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.46 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 25c | 1,596$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.09 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 1,461$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 21c | 937.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.41 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 79c | 937.23$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.41 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 406.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 34c | 400.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 387.11$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 305.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 33c | 304.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 268.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Yes | 77c | 266.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 265.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 203.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 189.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 175.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 26c | 157$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed Yes | 26c | 115.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 26c | 111$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 108.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 33c | 76.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 25c | 72.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 68c | 56.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 38c | 46.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 61c | 37.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 51c | 34.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 52c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 20.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 75c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…9e92backed Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.