Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1184897ef50ccda1ff5af2178cd03e2a51c14fbf699ae67ac77307026d743245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 2,677$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,795$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.39 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 1,405$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 824.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 688.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 21c | 324.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 289.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 252.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 70c | 250.11$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 240.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 227.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 69c | 175.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 96.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 93.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 83.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 82.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 74c | 82.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 69c | 72.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 71.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 71.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 65.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 69c | 22.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.