TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under50c25,582$12,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,906.0411535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.873351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over47c6,241$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.6166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over50c5,010$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over51c3,979$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.871346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c3,123$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under52c2,744$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.3127840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Over48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1444755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9936248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c1,724$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Over50c1,720$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86011361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf3…6052backed Over50c1,680$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under25c804.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under10c654.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3522836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa308…2d12backed Over51c653.2$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c619$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.062,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c470.59$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c466.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Over48c419.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3919845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6727443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15316346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c280$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.252,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…b8a8backed Under47c258.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.352142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over79c228.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.657047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Under51c215$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Over55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9114746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edb…6089backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a83…09f0backed Over47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5f…2348backed Over48c175$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c159$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…55d3backed Over50c137.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c134$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.661,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c18…5e7cbacked Under54c117.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc12…69d8backed Under53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Over49c102.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9912157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Over49c102.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.088155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…51e2backed Over51c100.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Over78c85.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8912040.8%49 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…2871backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.435100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefe7…c0a3backed Over50c73.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2e…116cbacked Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5729…c366backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54850%24 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…a75fbacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53040%12 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…3a20backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94db…26bbbacked Under35c50.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526439.4%104 W · 160 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…f59fbacked Under36c49.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…8a08backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdee2…30bbbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6784957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6771044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8261056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.629046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb60…fb30backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3733147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Under54c38.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.878052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd8…ec8dbacked Under53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8043…7fe3backed Under36c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3931250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3947948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Under53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514346.9%67 W · 76 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe985…7a09backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd08e…d78cbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1433949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…3ae9backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Over51c21.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.384465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5825…af22backed Under53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107746.8%36 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59af…ccc0backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.848255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d61…ce94backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.